What Can You Learn From a Martingale Simulator?

Thinking Man Holding A Book and a Pen. With a Graph Behind Him

Martingale simulations stem from the Martingale betting system, a fundamental philosophy in games like blackjack, baccarat, and roulette. However, many say the system is at its best in baccarat and blackjack.

You can also take the Martingale system to other games if you choose, but this is a system to consider if you decide to make the previous games yours.

Now, no simulation or, by extension, betting system will work magic, just as no diet or exercise program will land you ideal results stemming from a number of outside factors. In the exercise world, it’s genetics. In the gambling world, it’s chance.

However, if you’re interested in looking deeper into Martingale, today’s post will provide an outline. We won’t say that it will increase your odds of winning. But if Martingale comes naturally to you, it may work in your favor.

Let’s look closer.

Martingale Simulations Overview

To understand what Martingales simulations show, you must first understand a Martingale betting strategy, as outlined below.

Blackjack may be the most popular table game out there, so we will describe the Martingale simulator using the classic casino staple for purposes of today’s post.

Say you’re at a blackjack table with a minimum bet of $2. For the first round of bets, you would bet $2. Unfortunately, you lose the round and, therefore, your $2. Under the Martingale system, you would bet $4 in Round 2, hoping to win back the $2 that you lost while earning a $2 profit.

You lose again, so now you bet $8, hoping to recoup the $6 loss and $2 profit. You lose again, and during the next round, you bet $16. After another loss, you bet $32, and finally, luck shines down on you, and you win back the money you lost and profit.

This is basically what a Martingale simulator will show you. You plug in the minimum bet, and the simulator will show you how much you would need to bet after each loss, along with the total amount lost or won.

The ideology behind this strategy is that you will earn all your lost money back, along with a small profit even after a losing streak.

Now that you know what a Martingale system is and what a Martingale simulator shows you, let’s further break down the simulator to what you can learn from them.

The Risk/Reward Factor

The first thing you will learn from Martingale simulations is that they show us the risk/reward factor placed in all bets, regardless of the game you play.

If you bet conservatively, the Martingale simulations will show you that, while you can win back your money in just one hand, you can also lose a lot of money if you don’t win. Even more money than you otherwise would because of the fact you’re doubling your bets after each loss.

Therefore, it’s easy for you to walk into a casino with the Martingale strategy in mind since you loved what the Martingale simulations showed you and that, you believe, it’s impossible for you to walk away with anything less than a profit.

Because, even if you lose five rounds in a row, it only takes that 1 to win back everything you lost, right?

Dealt Blackjack Table

And the simulations will show you exactly how much you need to bet to win that money back. But they also show you if you go on a cold streak, say you lose ten rounds in a row, you can lose a lot of money here.

Let’s take the blackjack example again, this time with a $5 minimum bet. But in this example, you will lose for ten rounds in a row.

In round 1, you bet $5 and lose. Come round 2, it’s $10, and you lose. Round 3 gives you a $20 bet and $40 in round 4. Come round 5; you need to bet $80 just to win back the money you lost in previous rounds. But you lose again.

Now in round 6, you’re betting $160 to win everything back. And come round 7, you’re looking at a $320 bet, before bumping that number up to $640 in round 8. In round 9, after 8 losses, you bet $1,080, and finally, $2,160 in round 10 just to recoup your losses.

You can see the risk factor playing out here. And remember, with the simulation above, we started with just a $5 minimum bet.

Another Unfortunate Truth About Martingale Simulations

Let’s use the blackjack example above once again, complete with the $5 bets. Suppose you win round 5, in which you bet $80. You recouped the $5 loss in round 1, $10 from round 2, $20 from round 3, and $40 from round 4.

Let’s add these numbers, and you won back your $75 loss, plus a $5 profit. To make just $5, you had to bet $80.

So, Martingale simulations show us something else: You can potentially lose everything, as the risk/ reward factor in the above section shows. And you can gain little. This shows that the risk may outweigh the benefits of using the Martingale system once you run through the simulations.

You can see that the Martingale simulations show you, in terms of risk/reward, that the risk may far outweigh the reward.

However, this does not always need to be the case. While this section and the one above it show you otherwise, there are times where Martingale simulations may work to your benefit. The section below explains.

Create Martingale Simulations for Unique Scenarios

Martingales simulations are great ways to create when looking for insight into whether it’s the best strategy for you. The sections above may indicate otherwise, but when you tailor it to your bankroll, they show you how many possible rounds you can play without breaking the bank.

To do this, you need to treat Martingale simulations as though it’s giving you a real-life look at whether it’s worth doubling bets after each loss.

Simulate this to be as close to real-life as you can. You don’t need any fancy equipment to create your simulations, as a pen and notebook will work just fine.

In the top right-hand corner, place your preferred allowance for casino night. Let’s say it’s $200. And you know the local casino has $2 minimum bet Blackjack specials every Friday, so this is your target date to try and win some money. Perhaps your goal is to try and turn your $200 into $300.

Roulette Table

You read about the Martingale system, and like it, so now you want to confirm everything in these Martingale simulations.

Place your $200 allowance on top, then go ahead and jot down your rounds, creating a simulation for a win and losses.

Start in the loss column, where you would place $2 for round 1, $4 for round 2, $8 for round 3, $16 for round 4, $32 for round 5, and $64 for round 6. If you lose all 6 times in this simulator, you cannot continue to use the Martingale system after the sixth loss.

This is because you would need to bet $128 for round 7, but you already bet $126 in the first 6 rounds. After 6 losses, you would need to try a different strategy, as the Martingale simulator shows.

You can also place your wins in this same simulation but in a separate column. These would show how much you would win after each round. So, if you lost the first 5 rounds, bet $64 in round 6, and win, you earn back your $64, plus an additional $2.

What Can You Learn From a Martingale Simulator?

It depends on your overall goal for the night. If you want to know how much money you can realistically bet as they pertain to your allowance, Martingale simulations will show you that, along with the amount of money you have leftover when you can no longer match the bet.

They can also show you the risk/reward factor, and in some cases, the risk far outweighs the reward.

However, in lower-stakes games, the risk of losing big is substantially lower, as the $2 minimum bet outline shows compared to the $5 minimum bet outline.

Should You Use Martingale Simulations?

You should always use them before you buy into the Martingale system or any other betting system. The reason behind this is that they give you a visual of how much you can win, but also how much you need to bet and, therefore, potentially lose.

They will also help you decide whether they’re the right system to use for you, given their risk/reward visual. If you’re an aggressive gambler, they may interest you, despite the lower rewards. But if you bet conservatively or for fun, Martingale simulations may show the system is not for you considering the stakes.

Final Thoughts

Martingale simulations show us the pros and cons of using the Martingale betting system. The system is one of the oldest in the world, so you may say it’s stood the test of time. Despite this, the system has its drawbacks, and this is exactly what the Martingale simulations show.

Have you used Martingale simulations in the past to devise your betting strategy? If so, tell us in the comments and let us know how they helped you fare. We are looking forward to reading your input.