Super Bowl LV, which takes place on Sunday, February 7th, should bring in an incredible amount of wagering money from bettors all over the world. A lot of those bets will concentrate on which of the two participating teams win the game. But you’ll also have a chance to bet on individual performers, which is why there should be a lot of action on Super Bowl 55 proposition bets. You can check out our guide for more insight on how Super Bowl betting works.
Those who know all about football betting know that sportsbooks and real money sports betting sites will be offering a wide array of wagers for you to make. After all, the Super Bowl is the one game in the National Football league season that draws in casual bettors as well as the hardcore fans. And many of those fans will be concentrating on prop bets.
Prop bets, also known as proposition bets, are usually focused on some aspect of the game other than which team wins and by how much. Instead, many of those proposition bets are focused on the statistical performances of the individual players within the game. And the biggest spotlight in football is on the quarterback, so expect a lot of Super Bowl LV QB prop bets to be in effect.
The Importance of the Signal-Caller
The game of football has changed dramatically throughout the 55 years that the Super Bowl has been in existence. But one part of the game that hasn’t really changed is the importance placed on the importance of the quarterback. And with the emphasis on passing that we’ve seen in the past few years, that is true now more than ever.
With that in mind, we’re here to give you all the information you need to know about Super Bowl LV QB prop bets. We’ll talk about how they work, what factors go into deciding on them, and what quarterbacks are likely participants in this year’s game. On top of that, we’ll answer some key questions about these bets for you.
How Super Bowl LV QB Prop Bets Work
With any type of individual player prop bet in the sport of football, the oddsmaker will base their odds on the statistics that the players might amass during the game. You, as the bettor, will decide which side you want to pick. In addition, you have to decide whether or not it’s worth it to make this bet based on the value provided by the odds.
In any case, Super Bowl LV quarterback prop bets will be based on the concept known as the moneyline. The moneyline is set by the oddsmakers in an effort to balance out both sides of the bet. They’re trying to avoid bettors wagering too heavily on one side of the bet, which could cause the online sportsbook or sports gambling site a big loss.
When you see the moneyline, you have to realize that it’s based on a wager of $100. Take a look at a hypothetical Super Bowl LV QB prop bet based on an over/under concept:
- Quarterback throws for 200 yards or more: -145
- Quarterback throws for less than 200 yards: +125
In this case, if you bet on the first option, or the “over,” you’d be wagering $145 to win a return of $100. If you bet on the second option, you’d be betting $100 to win $125.
This doesn’t mean that those are the only two bets that you can make in that scenario. But the ratios set by the moneyline stay in place no matter how much you bet:
- You’d win $1 for every $1.45 you bet on the over.
- You’d win $1.25 for every $1 you bet on the under.
The moneyline concept also comes into play where the quarterback is one of several possibilities on the board, for existence if you’re betting on who will win the Super Bowl 2021 Most Valuable Player Award. In this case, the likelihood is that you can get odds that are a bit more beneficial than just an over/under. That’s because there are more possible outcomes in play.
Types of Super Bowl LV QB Prop Bets
Over/Under Passing Yards
This is probably the easiest to understand and most popular among Super Bowl LV QB proposition bets. You’ll be guessing how many yards the quarterback will have passing at the end of the game. The oddsmaker will set a line that comes in somewhere around the median range of possible outcomes.
Over/Under Rushing Yards
This is an interesting one because, more and more, quarterbacks are becoming running threats in the modern-day NFL. You’ll see a little bit further down, as we look at the quarterbacks who could be involved in Super Bowl LV, that one is a very prolific rusher, two are solid in that category, and one will only run as a last resort. The lines will be adjusted accordingly.
Over/Under Touchdowns Thrown
This bet is much trickier than the ones attached to yardage. It’s much harder to predict how many touchdowns will be thrown than it is to predict yardage. That’s because touchdowns depend on so many other circumstances somewhat beyond the quarterback’s control.
In this case, the quarterbacks in Super Bowl LV would be listed along with several other key players in the game. It’s always important to remember that the quarterback has a built-in advantage in winning the MVP, simply because he has the ball in his hands on just about every offensive snap, giving him many more opportunities to do something notable than others in the game. In the 54 Super Bowls played up to this point, quarterbacks have won 30 times, which is far more than any other position.
You might see some gambling sites getting creative different matchups. For example, they might pit the two starting quarterbacks against each other in terms of passing yards, touchdowns, or any other stat. In addition, you could see some cases where the quarterback is matched up statistically with a player from another sport, as in the following bet: Quarterback’s completions in Super Bowl LV vs. NBA player’s points scored in-game the same day.
Possible Super Bowl LV Quarterbacks
At press time, there are still four teams with a chance of making Super Bowl LV. The Kansas City Chiefs will host the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship, the Green Bay Packers host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC Championship, and the winners meet. With that in mind, let’s evaluate the quarterbacks most likely to be involved in Super Bowl LV quarterback prop bets.
Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs
Mahomes has been one of the dominant players in the game since taking over as the Chiefs started in 2018, his second year in the league. In that season, he put up record-setting numbers with 50 touchdown passes.
His numbers in 2020 were typically amazing (4,740 passing yards and 38 touchdowns against just six interceptions. But a concussion suffered in the divisional playoff win over Cleveland should give some pause. It will be interesting to see how he responds in the AFC Championship game, assuming he is ready to play.
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
Allen is the only player out of this quarter without any Super Bowl experience. But he is coming off a breakout third season in which he fulfilled all the promise that made him a first-round draft pick of the Bills. He accounted for 45 touchdowns rushing and passing.
After failing to throw for over 300 yards in any game his first two years in the league, Allen topped that mark nine times in 2020.
Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
When Rodgers won the Super Bowl MVP 10 years ago in a Packers win over the Pittsburgh Steelers, many thought it would be the first of many for him. But even while he continued to post massive stats since then, injuries and team struggles kept from reaching that pinnacle again. But 2020 was a return to form, as he is the odds-on favorite to win the Most Valuable Player award.
Rodgers set a career-high at age 37 with 48 touchdown passes. He did that while throwing only five interceptions. And he is coming off a stellar performance in the divisional round when he and the Packers offense decimated the Los Angeles Rams’ league-leading defense.
Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Brady is widely recognized as the greatest quarterback in league history, with six Super Bowl titles and four Super Bowl MVP awards under his belt. The big news this year was his decision to move on from New England, where he had played the first 20 seasons of his NFL career.
Brady benefitted from having a deep receiving corps with the Bucs, including Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, and his old Patriot buddy Rob Gronkowski—who came out of retirement just to play with Brady again. As a result, his 40 touchdown passes were the second-most of his career. And the 4,633 passing yards he managed at age 43 was the most he put up in five years.
Tips for Making Super Bowl LV QB Prop Bets
- Consider the defenses. Obviously, the quarterbacks don’t play in a vacuum, and how well the opposing defense can combat them will have a big impact on their stats. Try to look and see how the defense they’re playing has done in past games against top quarterbacks.
- Watch out for matchups. There might be an area where a pass-rusher could have an edge over one of the quarterback’s offensive linemen, which could dampen expectations for the quarterback. By the same token, look at how key receivers match up with defensive backs.
- Look at the injury report. This goes beyond the quarterbacks themselves, in case they happen to be banged up. A quarterback’s performance could easily hinge on an injury to some key component, either of his team or of the opponent’s defensive lineup.
- Think about ball control. A quarterback can’t do much if he doesn’t have the ball in his hands. If you feel like one defense won’t be able to keep the other team from controlling the clock, that means you should lower your hopes for the quarterback who might be stuck watching from the sidelines.
What Prop Bets Will Be Available Where I Bet?
You should always check the betting sites you plan on using to see if they have the kinds of Super Bowl LV QB prop bets you want to make. Most of the top sites will give you a broad selection of the best bets. But you should make sure your favorite QB prop bets are included.
What Does It Mean to Go Shopping for Odds?
This refers to the process of looking at different gambling sites to see where the odds are most advantageous for the bets that you want to make. For example, if you want to bet a quarterback to win MVP, and his odds are +125 at Site A and +150 at Site B, Site B gives you more bang for your buck. That’s why you should do a little shopping around before making Super Bowl 55 quarterback prop bets.
Can You Win Real Money With Quarterback Prop Bets for Super Bowl LV?
As long as you put money at stake, you can win real money in return. If you’re using a gambling website, that means signing up and funding an account. You can then allot that money for your Super Bowl LV QB prop bets.
Are There Bonuses Attached to Super Bowl LV QB Prop Bets?
You have to check with each betting site to see which ones offer specific bonuses tied into these specific bets. But we do know that most online sportsbooks will offer you sports betting bonuses for signing up to make wagers. That gives you the chance to perhaps get a percentage bonus for your bets or even some free bets, depending on the promotion.
What Are the Best Sports Betting Websites for QB Prop Bets in Super Bowl LV?
Here are the sites that we recommend as being trustworthy, offering fast payback, and giving you access to a wide variety of bets and bonuses:
We hope that you’re all set now to make your Super Bowl LV QB prop bets. These bets require the same kind of research and attention that you would use to make team bets. If you can make those commitments, you can possibly win big from these special proposition wagers.