5 Steps to NBA Gambling Success

NBA Player Ian Mahinmi With a Sportsbook Board Background

The NBA has changed a great deal over the last 20 to 30 years, but one thing that hasn’t changed is the fact that smart gamblers find profitable gambling opportunities on the schedule all of the time. And once the regular season is completed, the playoffs seem to last almost as long as the regular season.

Here are 5 steps to help you have more NBA gambling success. This means winning more of your NBA wagers and increasing your overall profits. Once you learn how to use these 5 NBA tactics, keep improving your handicapping skills to become even more successful.

1 – The Best Players Still Need a Good System

It’s not hard to identify the top players in the NBA. And when 2 or 3 of them team up on a team, the team usually competes for a title. The trend in the NBA is for the top players to form super teams.

But it’s not enough for a team to get 2 or 3 of the top players. The team also has to learn how to use these players together in their system in order to perform as well as they can.

The 2019 – 2020 Philadelphia 76er’s had two of the best players in the league and a good supporting cast before the season was disrupted. They had a winning record, but they were having a difficult time coming together as a team.

It’s difficult to pinpoint the exact reason why the team was not coming together, but it wasn’t a lack of talent. It might have been the fit of the roster and floor spacing issues, but it might have been the system as much as anything.

NBA Player Stephen Curry and Two Defenders

This is just one example of a team filled with talent not living up to expectations, possibly because of a poor system.

The main point you need to take from this is to not put too much faith in a team just because they have great players. Make sure that they’re using the right system and the team is fitting together well.

The Philadelphia team in the example dominated at home, but was terrible on the road. And no one seemed to be able to figure out why this happened. It’s not really your job to determine why these things happen. Your job is to recognize them when they do happen and use the information to become a more successful NBA gambler.

2 – Every Important Statistic Must Be Split

This might be one of the biggest mistakes that NBA gamblers make. They evaluate games and use the overall statistics for the teams and players instead of their splits.

Why would you look at a team’s or players overall numbers when you evaluate a game instead of their home and road splits? It simply doesn’t make any sense, yet this is what most NBA gamblers do.

When a team is playing on the road, the only numbers I care about are the ones that they put up on the road. The same is true when they play at home.

If you were gambling on games in the 2019 – 2020 season involving Philadelphia and making your betting decisions based on their overall stats, you were in danger of losing too much. This is especially true if you were betting on them on the road.

You need to start looking at splits and ignoring overall stats. Until you do this, you’re going to have a difficult time making a profit betting on NBA games.

3 – Positions Are a Thing of the Past

This is a challenging thing to explain, and it can be challenging to use this information as an NBA gambler. But you need to understand this if you want to have success as an NBA gambler.

The days of the traditional player positions are gone. While some teams have a true point guard and/or a true center, the fact is that in the modern NBA teams use their best 5 players to start and their best 7 to 9 players in their rotation, no matter what position they might traditionally play.

You see guys close to 7 foot bringing the ball up the floor and you see 7 foot centers taking 3 point shots. Wings can be anywhere from 6 foot to 7 foot.

The challenge is figuring out how to use this information to help you make more profitable NBA wagers. It’s important to look at the match ups created when teams play each other. While defense is often ignored by NBA gamblers, some teams are better at matching up on defense than others.

Look for teams that have a hard time matching up on defense with the other team’s best players. This can help you evaluate games and possibilities better than most gamblers.

4 – Does NBA Coaching Matter or Not?

The common belief is that the only thing that matters in the NBA is the star players. This leads many NBA gamblers to believe that coaching doesn’t matter. This is a mistake that can cost you a great deal of money.

Overall, the head coaches in the NBA fall into 1 of 3 categories. The worst coaches belong in 1 category, and they probably aren’t going to be coaching for long. The best coaches belong in another category, and they seem to win everywhere they go and have long careers.

The other category has all of the rest of the coaches. These coaches are competent, and do well when they have a strong team, but struggle when their team isn’t filled with stars.

NBA Detroit and Minnesota Players in the Post

The coaches in the top category seem to always be able to get more out of their players and teams than most other coaches can. This might be a combination of the system they use and their ability to control and help their players, or something else. But their results prove that they’re better than other coaches.

The best teams still need to have the best players, but a great coach is going to have better results with the best players than other coaches. And a great coach with a weak roster is probably going to compete, but he’s not going to win a title with them.

The coaches in the NBA do matter and you need to start using this information when you’re evaluating NBA games for gambling purposes.

5 – Regular Season and the Playoffs

The NBA is split into 2 different seasons. The regular season is one season, and the playoffs are completely different.

In the regular NBA season, teams play to make it to the playoffs, but they also want to be as healthy as possible once the playoffs start. This means that they don’t always play at 100% in the regular season.

But once the playoffs start, all of the NBA teams that made the playoffs are trying to win 100% of the time.

This doesn’t always mean it’s easier to win when you bet on playoff games than when you bet on regular season games, but you have to know the difference.

You can profit from NBA betting tips like this in the regular season. When you know a team is resting one of their best players, it can help you make more profitable wagers. And rest isn’t always missing an entire game. Track what the coaches are doing with their star players and their minutes.

Some players get more rest than others, and sometimes teams trade a few wins for additional rest for their bets players. What’s the difference between winning 55 and 58 games? It might be a difference of a seed or two, but it’s not going to make a big difference.

And as a coach, your ob is to win titles. The way to win a title is to get into the playoffs at full strength and health if possible, and then to try to win every series.


When you combine the regular season and the playoffs, there are thousands of NBA betting opportunities. Every game on the schedule isn’t going to provide value, but plenty of the games do.

Focus on the star players working in a system that utilizes their skill sets the most. Understand which coaches are able to get the maximum production from their players.

Don’t forget to look only at the splits when you evaluate games, and not the overall stats. These 5 steps are going to help you achieve more success quickly.